Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000698 0.000794 0.000896 0.001011 0.001137 0.001272 0.001426
2025-08-24 0.000535 0.000665 0.000812 0.000990 0.001197 0.001431 0.001712
2025-08-31 0.000439 0.000581 0.000749 0.000960 0.001217 0.001516 0.001888
2025-09-07 0.000378 0.000529 0.000715 0.000958 0.001262 0.001627 0.002093
2025-09-14 0.000332 0.000488 0.000687 0.000956 0.001303 0.001730 0.002287
2025-09-21 0.000290 0.000447 0.000656 0.000945 0.001328 0.001809 0.002451
2025-09-28 0.000253 0.000409 0.000622 0.000927 0.001341 0.001871 0.002592
2025-10-05 0.000235 0.000395 0.000621 0.000951 0.001407 0.002004 0.002825
2025-10-12 0.000217 0.000380 0.000616 0.000968 0.001465 0.002124 0.003046
2025-10-19 0.000195 0.000355 0.000594 0.000959 0.001485 0.002195 0.003200
2025-10-26 0.000174 0.000331 0.000572 0.000948 0.001501 0.002258 0.003345
2025-11-02 0.000161 0.000318 0.000564 0.000958 0.001545 0.002360 0.003545
2025-11-09 0.000146 0.000301 0.000550 0.000957 0.001574 0.002443 0.003722
2025-11-16 0.000127 0.000274 0.000519 0.000929 0.001562 0.002468 0.003818
2025-11-23 0.000111 0.000251 0.000492 0.000903 0.001551 0.002493 0.003914
2025-11-30 0.000101 0.000238 0.000479 0.000900 0.001574 0.002566 0.004079
2025-12-07 0.000092 0.000226 0.000468 0.000898 0.001600 0.002644 0.004252
2025-12-14 0.000083 0.000211 0.000451 0.000888 0.001609 0.002696 0.004388
2025-12-21 0.000073 0.000196 0.000432 0.000870 0.001607 0.002732 0.004501
2025-12-28 0.000070 0.000194 0.000436 0.000893 0.001670 0.002866 0.004760
2026-01-04 0.000066 0.000190 0.000437 0.000909 0.001723 0.002986 0.005002
2026-01-11 0.000060 0.000179 0.000424 0.000901 0.001734 0.003043 0.005149
2026-01-18 0.000054 0.000168 0.000410 0.000891 0.001742 0.003093 0.005285